Summary of “Value Averaging” by Michael E. Edleson (2007)

Summary of

Finance and AccountingInvestment Strategies

Introduction

In “Value Averaging,” Michael E. Edleson introduces a novel investment strategy designed to optimize returns while managing risk. This book falls under the category of Investment Strategies and offers an alternative to the more widely known method of dollar-cost averaging (DCA). Edleson’s approach seeks to balance and maximize investment performance through disciplined purchasing and selling. The book provides practical steps and real-life examples to illustrate the effectiveness of value averaging (VA).

What is Value Averaging (VA)?

Value Averaging is an investment technique where an investor adjusts the amount invested in a portfolio each month to reach a predetermined, steadily growing total portfolio value. Unlike dollar-cost averaging, which invests a fixed amount regularly, VA requires investing varying amounts based on market performance.

  • Actionable Step: Define a target growth path for your portfolio value. Plan how much you want your portfolio to grow each period (monthly, quarterly).

Example:
If an investor’s target growth path is to increase their portfolio by $500 each month, and their portfolio value at the start of the month is $4,000, then their target value at the end of the month would be $4,500. Depending on the current portfolio performance, the investor adjusts their investment:

  • If the portfolio’s value appreciates to $4,300 on its own, the investor only needs to invest an additional $200.
  • If the portfolio depreciates to $3,800, the investor must invest $700 to reach the target $4,500.

Building Discipline and Systematic Investment

Value Averaging inherently promotes disciplined investing because it necessitates a structured approach to investment decisions, unburdened by emotional market reactions.

  • Actionable Step: Set up an automated system or alert to remind you to review and adjust your investments monthly based on your target growth path.

VA vs. Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA)

While dollar-cost averaging involves investing the same amount at regular intervals irrespective of market conditions, VA aims to buy more shares when prices are low and fewer when prices are high, theoretically leading to better returns over time.

  • Actionable Step: Compare past performance data of DCA vs. VA with your historical investments or through hypothetical scenarios to understand which strategy historically aligns better with your investment goals.

Example:
An analysis in the book compares a 300-month period using both VA and DCA. It showed that VA outperformed DCA because VA involves systematically buying more shares during market dips, leading to higher returns.

Ensuring Realistic Target Growth

Setting an unrealistic target growth can lead to excessive buying during down markets, which might not be sustainable for all investors.

  • Actionable Step: Start with a conservative target growth rate based on historical market averages (e.g., 7-8% for an equity portfolio) and adjust based on personal risk tolerance and financial goals.

Example:
If historical data suggests a 7% annual return, an investor could set a monthly growth rate of around 0.57%. For a $10,000 portfolio, this would translate to a target increase of approximately $57 per month.

Risk Management

Managing Investment Risk

VA introduces a mechanism to moderate risk by buying less when markets are high and more when they are low, naturally providing a cushion against market volatility.

  • Actionable Step: Use VA to methodically increment exposure to high-risk assets when prices drop, and conversely, shield your portfolio by limiting additional investments during market highs.

Example:
During a bear market, if a stock drops by 20%, VA would direct the investor to purchase more of this undervalued asset, assuming the target path requires it, thereby potentially positioning for greater gains when the market recovers.

Tax Considerations

Tax-Efficient Strategies

Frequent buying and selling can trigger various tax implications. VA can be adapted to minimize tax consequences by focusing on tax-advantaged accounts or strategically selling to minimize tax impacts.

  • Actionable Step: Utilize tax-advantaged accounts like IRAs or 401(k)s for your VA strategy to defer taxes. Also, consider harvesting tax losses where applicable to offset gains.

Example:
If an investor needs to sell assets to maintain their VA target and the assets have depreciated, they can realize a tax loss that reduces their taxable income, effectively reducing their overall tax liability.

Practical Applications and Tools

Implementation of VA

Edleson outlines practical tools and formulas to facilitate the VA strategy, including spreadsheets and financial software to maintain the desired growth path.

  • Actionable Step: Download or create a VA worksheet or software tool from resources mentioned in the book to help keep track of your targets and adjustments.

Example:
A VA worksheet in Excel might have columns for current value, target value, required investment/sell amounts, and actual investments made. By updating these fields regularly, investors can stay on course with their VA strategy.

Managing Cash Flow

VA often requires precise cash flow management to fulfill investment targets. Ensuring liquidity to invest more during downturns is crucial.

  • Actionable Step: Maintain a cash reserve or access to a line of credit to make additional investments during market downturns as outlined by your VA strategy.

Example:
An investor might keep a $10,000 reserve ready for deployment based on their VA plan, ensuring they can capitalize on market dips without disrupting their finances.

Adapting Strategy Over Time

Regular Review and Adjustment

Periodic review and flexibility are essential as financial goals and market conditions change.

  • Actionable Step: Schedule quarterly or annual reviews to reassess your target growth path and make adjustments to reflect changes in market conditions, risk tolerance, and financial goals.

Example:
If an investor’s circumstances change (e.g., a salary increase or nearing retirement), they may adjust their growth target from aggressive to conservative, accordingly adapting the VA path.

Real-World Case Studies

Success Stories

The book also provides concrete case studies of individuals who have applied VA to their portfolios, illustrating the effectiveness of the strategy.

Example:
A case study describes an investor who began with a $10,000 portfolio and a $500 monthly growth target. Over three years, they used the VA strategy, encountering both bull and bear markets. By consistently adjusting contributions based on the VA method, they achieved a more significant return compared to a traditional DCA approach.

Conclusion

“Value Averaging” by Michael E. Edleson presents a compelling strategy that advocates for disciplined, systematic, and reactive investment methods. By adjusting investment amounts according to market conditions and a predetermined growth path, VA aims to mitigate risks and enhance returns. The practical approaches and nuanced strategies highlighted throughout the book equip investors with a robust framework to pursue their financial goals. Whether starting a new investment journey or refining an existing one, incorporating VA can offer substantial benefits to diligent investors.

Final Actionable Step: Begin applying VA in a small part of your investment portfolio, monitor the performance vs. DCA and other strategies, and gradually increase your commitment as your confidence and understanding of the method grow.

This structured and detailed summary captures the essence of “Value Averaging” and provides practical steps an investor can take to implement this strategy.

Finance and AccountingInvestment Strategies